STA 4508: Topics in Likelihood Inference Spring 2016

SS 1080 Tuesdays 2-5 pm. First class January 12.
On March 1 we meet in SS 6004

Topics

  1. Inference based on the likelihood function: derived quantities, limiting distributions, approximations to posterior distributions;
  2. Adjusted profile log-likelihoods: motivation, derivation, examples;
  3. Composite likelihood: definition, summary statistics, asymptotic theory; applications
  4. Likelihood for semi-parametric and non-parametric models: proportional hazards regression, partially linear models, penalized likelihood;
  5. An introduction to likelihood inference for p > n;
  6. Simulated likelihoods, indirect inference

Running list of references and background reading

Review Papers

  • Reid, N. (2013) Aspects of likelihood inference Bernoulli 19, 1404-1418.
  • Reid, N. (2010) Likelihood Inference Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews in Computational Statistics 5, 517-525.
    (I need to use Preview to view this, rather than Adobe.)
  • Reid, N. (2011) Likelihood International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science, Part 5, 455-459.
  • Reid, N. (2000) Likelihood. J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 95, 1335-1340.

Likelihood Basics

  • Davison, A.C. (2003) Statistical Models (SM) Cambridge University Press. -- Ch 4
  • Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. and Cox, D.R. (1994) Inference and Asymptotics (BNC) Chapman and Hall. -- Ch 2.2
  • Cox, D.R. and Hinkley, D.V. (1974) Theoretical Statistics (CH) Chapman and Hall. -- Ch 2.1 (i), (ii)
  • Cox, D.R. (2006) Principles of Statistical Inference (Cox) -- Ch.2.1

Marginal/conditional/profile/adjusted likelihood

  • Properties of profile likelihood: BNC -- Ch 3.4-7
  • Marginal and conditional likelihood functions: SM -- Ch 12.2,3
  • Adjustments to profile likelihood: SM -- 12.3; BNC -- 8.2; Cox & Reid (1987). JRSS B, 49, 1--39.
  • Laplace approximation: SM -- Ch 11.3; Tierney & Kadane (1986), JASA 81, 82--86.

Composite likelihood

  • Varin (2008) Advances in Statistical Analysis On composite marginal likelihoods. Available here
  • Varin, Reid and Firth (2011). Statistica Sinica An overview of composite likelihood methods. Available here
  • Varin and Czado (2010). Biostatistics A mixed autoregressive probit model for ordinal longitudinal data. Available here
  • Cox and Reid (2004). Biometrika A note on pseudolikelihood constructed from marginal densities. Available here
  • Renard et al. (2004). Computational Statistics and Data Analysis A pairwise likelihood approach to estimation in multilevel probit models. Available here

Semi-parametric and empirical likelihood

  • Davison, A.C. (2003) Statistical Models Ch.5.4; 10.8.
  • Cox, D.R. (1972). Regression models and life tables. JRSS B.
  • Cox, D.R. (1975). Partial likelihood. Biometrika.
  • Murphy, S.A. and van der Waart, A. (2000). On profile likelihood. JASA
  • van der Waart, A. (1998). Asymptotic Statistics Ch.25.
  • Owen, A. (2000). Empirical Likelihood Ch.2.
  • Hirosi, Y. (2011). Efficiency of profile likelihood in semi-parametric models. Ann. Inst. Stat. Math. 63, 1247-1275
  • Zeng, D. and Lin, D.Y. (2010). A general asymptotic theory for maximum likelihood estimation in semiparametric regression models with censored data.Stat. Sinica 20, 871-910
  • Andresen, A. and Spokoiny, V. (2014). Critical dimension in profile semiparametric estimation. Elect. J Statist. 8 3077-3125

High-dimensional inference

  • Bühlmann, P. (2013) Statistical significance in high-dimensional linear models Bernoulli 19, 1212-1242.
  • Bühlmann, P., Kalisch, M. and Meier, L. (2014) High-dimensional statistics with a view toward applications in biology. Annual Review of Statistics and its Applications 1, 255-278.
  • Lockhart,R., Taylor, J., Tibshirani, R., Tibshirani, R. (2014) A significance test for the Lasso. Annals of Statistics 42, 413-468.
  • Portnoy, S. (1988). Asymptotic behaviour of likelihood methods for exponential families when the number of parameters tends to infinity. Ann. Statist. 16, 356-366. (also Portnoy 1984 and 1985, AoS.)

March 1

February 23

February 2

January 26

January 19

January 12